Seismologist Dr. Ramazan Demirtaş, stated that the Büyük Menderes Depression and Kuşadası Fault have the potential to produce earthquakes of up to 6.0 magnitude, and noted "but". Here are the details... EARTHQUAKE SCIENTIST DEMİRTAŞ: "THE GREAT MENDERES DEPRESSION MAY PRODUCE AN EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE 6.0" Geologist Dr. Ramazan Demirtaş stated on his social media account that the Büyük Menderes Depression has the potential to produce earthquakes of up to magnitude 6.0. However, he emphasized that the precise earthquake predictions made by some scientists are not supported by scientific data and create unnecessary anxiety in the public. EARTHQUAKE HISTORY OF THE GREAT MENDERES DEPRESSION Dr. Demirtaş evaluated the tectonic movements in the region and shared the following information: The Büyük Menderes Depression is 180 km long and its annual slip rate is calculated as 2 mm. The last major earthquakes occurred in 1653, 1899 and 1955. It is estimated that at least 1000 years are required for a fault slip of 2 meters. It was stated that the risk between Germencik and Nazilli was very low. It was noted that the Kuyucak - Buharkent - Sarayköy line could carry a seismic gap. WHAT DID HE SAY ABOUT KUSADASI AND DAVUTLAR FAULT? Considering the lengths of the Kuşadası and Davutlar faults, they have the potential to produce earthquakes of up to M=6.0 magnitude. However, he stated that a major earthquake is not expected in the near future due to the low annual slip rates of the faults. He noted that the Izmir Earthquake on October 30, 2020, had placed stress on the region, but said it was unlikely to trigger a new earthquake. “THEY SCARE PEOPLE WITH FICTIONS” Demirtaş stated that some experts were making earthquake predictions on television screens and social media without scientific data and made the following warnings: “Faults do not produce earthquakes upon expectation,” he said, reminding that earthquakes will not occur unless the recurrence interval is reached, and sufficient stress accumulation occurs. He stated that those who say "We are expecting an earthquake" do not have paleo seismological and mathematical parameters. He stated that scientists must comply with ethical rules, otherwise public trust in scientists is damaged. "THERE IS DISINFORMATION IN THE PRESS AND SOCIAL MEDIA" 
Dr. Demirtaş emphasized that sharing earthquake predictions without a scientific filter negatively affects the mental health of citizens and creates an unnecessary panic environment. Dr. Ramazan Demirtaş, who has expertise in paleo seismology, earthquake geology, and active tectonics, shared the following on social media on the X platform:
Dr. Demirtaş emphasized that sharing earthquake predictions without a scientific filter negatively affects the mental health of citizens and creates an unnecessary panic environment. Dr. Ramazan Demirtaş, who has expertise in paleo seismology, earthquake geology, and active tectonics, shared the following on social media on the X platform:- Büyük Menderes Depression
- - Kuşadası part = 17km
- However, since the annual slip rates of Kuşadası and Davutlar faults are very low, there is no definite rule that they will produce an earthquake in the near future, as stress was loaded in the October 30, 2020 earthquake.
- -As I mentioned above, the #earthquake hazard parameters of both faults are important.
- Those who make statements like "We are expecting an #earthquake on the Kuşadası and Davutlar fault" do not have any mathematical parameters or findings from a paleo seismological perspective. They are just making up stories on screen.
- See their explanations: There is no information about
- Between Germencik and Aydın 1653+1000 years = 2653
- -However, since there is no information about the latest #earthquake date and the recurrence intervals are more than 1000 years, it is not possible to conclude that an earthquake may occur very soon.
- 9. Unfortunately, fictions that are discussed in scientific environments and not subjected to a scientific filter, when made directly in the press and on screens, do not go beyond explanations and cause information pollution that only makes our people uneasy and harms their mental health.
- These statements, which are incompatible with earthquake science, made on the screens by those who should be adhering to scientific ethical rules in the most meticulous way, deeply shake the trust in seismologists, and this situation leads to an explosion in the number of local and foreign healers on social media.
